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Comparing Football Predictions For NFL Week 7

October 23, 2015 by  
Filed under NFL Football, Picks and Predictions

Football game predictions

Every week football fans are bombarded with different experts and systems that will give the best chances of placing the right bet, so we are taking a look at the predictions several different experts and systems are making for the NFL Week 7 games. Simply take a look at their picks, and see which one has the best record so far.

Game Around The NFL – Kevin Patra CBS Sports – Dave Richard Nate Silver ELO Microsoft Cortana
Seahawks at 49ers Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
Bills at Jaguars Bills Bills Bills Bills
Saints at Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts
Steelers at Chiefs Steelers Steelers Steelers Steelers
Jets at Patriots Jets Patriots Patriots Patriots
Falcons at Titans Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons
Texans at Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins Dolphins
Bucs at Redskins Redskins Buccaneers Redskins Redskins
Vikings at Lions Vikings Vikings EVEN Vikings
Browns at Rams Rams Rams Rams Rams
Raiders at Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers Chargers
Cowboys at Giants Giants Cowboys Giants Giants
Eagles at Panthers Eagles Panthers Panthers Panthers
Ravens at Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals

It seems that for this week’s games, most of the experts and betting systems are in agreement, with a few that diverge and give better odds of winning to the underdogs. Each expert and system has a win-loss record which could help you decide which picks to use:

We can already tell that a regular, low-end type of handicapping system that uses basic information, as Microsoft Cortana uses is not as accurate. The two football experts and the very complex ELO system take a lot of information into account, and are much more accurate. What every sports fan should want to get out of this is getting 55% or more right picks; which all get, with Cortana having the lowest at 59% accuracy.

Replacement Football Players Starting NFL Week 6

October 14, 2015 by  
Filed under NFL Football

Football player replacements

With the NFL Week 6 football games coming up, there are a few teams that need to re-evaluate their roster and starting players, as they try to replace injured players and hope that they are as good. When a key player gets injured, each team has to try and fill the hole left behind either by trying pick equally talented players or changing their overall game strategy to account for the loss. Some of these teams, and their injured players include:

  • Kansas City Chiefs: Jamaal Charles (torn right knee ACL)
  • Dallas Cowboys: Tony Romo (shoulder), replaced by Brandon Weeden (performing well, not winning games)
  • Buffalo Bills: Tyrod Taylor (MCL)

Each of these teams needs help on the field, which is why they have not been performing their best during the start of the season. With the injury of their starters, they are left with the replacements that could or could not perform; like the Cowboys with Brandon Weeden who replaced injured Tony Romo. By just looking at the stats, Weeden did an ok job, but he was unable to lead the usually explosive offense, being unable to score and win games.

Chiefs Ground Game Change

The Chiefs are without their star running back, so coach Andy Reid has decided to change up their offensive strategy, as there is no way to replace Charles. So, instead of putting the pressure on just one player, he decided to center the ground game on a committee approach. He will have Spencer Ware directly replacing Charles, while also having Knile Davis and Charcandrick West being as a one-two punch and will start against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. This is a great strategy to lower the risk of one player not performing well.

Cowboys Quarterback Trouble

The Cowboys have a great offense, but without a proper leader they are left losing games, with their latest a disaster; New England Patriots beating them 30-6. Without Romo, Weeden stepped up, but was unable to score despite his above-average performance. With the third setback, they have decided to switch out Weeden for Matt Cassel in Week 7, after they come back from their Bye. This will give them time to get Cassel up to speed and in-sync with the offense. Will this quarterback have another breakout season?

Bills Will-He-Won’t-He

It is still unknown if Tyrod Taylor is going to start this week against the Cincinnati Bengals, as he suffered an MCL injury last week. He is being re-evaluated to see if he will play or not, but coach Rex Ryan is stating, “I would not rule out Tyrod Taylor as starting this week. Although I know it’s widely reported that that’s the case. We will see, that’s a possibility. I certainly wouldn’t count Tyrod Taylor out. He did finish the game this past week. I can tell you this: He’s got heart, he’s got toughness and he’s got a lot of ability. I definitely would not rule him out.” So, we may or may not see EJ Manuel start this week as Taylor recovers.

It will be a tough few weeks for these three teams, as two of them are trying to get a winning record after a slow start to the football season.

NFL Teams That Need Extra Football Boost

October 7, 2015 by  
Filed under General Information, NFL Football

Football teams that need help

As the NFL Week 5 football games are approaching, there are several teams that would benefit from a few changes to their roster or strategy, as they have been having a horrible season so far. Look at which of the AFC and NFC teams need a boost that could mean the different between a losing and winning record.

Baltimore Ravens (1-3)

Area needing a fix: the Ravens are in desperate need of a good cornerback and wideout, as they have been suffering with the secondary.

Cleveland Browns (1-3)

Area needing a fix: They should start Johnny Manziel, and give defense coordinator Jim O’Neil some help by head coach Mike Pettine, who should be more involved with the talent.

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Start focusing on improving the secondary, as the Jaguars offense is getting its legs back with QB Blake Bortles, returning TE Julius Thomas, WR Allen Robinson, and rookie RB T.J. Yeldon. So their defense, who is ranked 26th should be their main focus.

Houston Texans (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Switch Ryan Mallet and Brian Hoyer each drive to see if that works, or try J.J. Watt in a different spot. Mixing it up may give the Texans a shot at winning a game on purpose.

Kansas City Chiefs (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Give QB Chase Daniel a shot at starting. Their current starter, Alex Smith, may have impressive throwing stats, but has been unable to score a touchdown. Perhaps Daniel will prove to be a better scorer.

Miami Dolphins (1-3)

Area needing a fix: With interim coach Dan Campbell and his new training techniques, it may be good time for the Dolphins to find a a suitable head coach, and this time, pick the right man for the job.

San Francisco 49ers (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Test their young players and see where they could go. With the 49ers having a relatively young team of players, they could see where they major strengths are at without being limited to former identities.

Philadelphia Eagles (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Play Darren Sproles more often! He is second on the team in terms of yards per carry, receptions, and average yards, yet he hasn’t been given much playing time. They should use this asset to the best of his abilities and start getting the ball safely down the field.

Detroit Lions (0-4)

Area needing a fix: Matt Stafford needs more balls, figuratively and literally. He has four amazing wide receivers and running back including, Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, and Ameer Abdullah, they should be taking more chances on the throw.

Chicago Bears (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Pick another quarterback now, rather than wait and see in the next Draft. There are plenty of experienced QB’s out there, like Geno Smith, Ryan Nassib, or EJ Manuel, and put them to work on the offense. If they are worried about Jay Cutler, they shouldn’t be, a quarterback that doesn’t perform should be on the bench.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Start Jameis Winston slower. The rookie quarterback has been throwing like crazy, with 30 to 35 attempts each game, which is what has led to his 7 interceptions. The Bucs should take it slower with him as he gains experience and he will surely repay them in the next season.

New Orleans Saints (1-3)

Area needing a fix: Think about the long run. With their star QB, Drew Brees reaching 37, they need to start looking at what lies ahead. They may need to completely overhaul the team and start looking to change its strategy, as it may no longer revolve around Brees and Sean Payton.

With these changes, we may see a different NFL team this season or the next, but we will have to wait and see if any of them actually do something to help them improve. The football season is only just begun, with 12 weeks to go until the playoffs, so it is still early to tell.

Players of the Month: Tom Brady, Julio Jones

October 1, 2015 by  
Filed under NFL Football, Player Rankings

Football Players of the Month September

As the September games come to a close, we take a look at the Football Players of the Month awards to see which players stood out the most during these first three weeks of the NFL season. They are divided into each conference, with picking the best offensive, defensive, and special team’s players of the AFC and NFC. Let’s take a look at who took the awards:

Offensive Player of the Month QB Tom Brady WR Julio Jones
Defensive Player of the Month LB DeMarcus Ware CB Josh Norman
Special Teams K Stephen Gostkowski KR/PR Tyler Lockett
Rookie of the Month Offense Defense
QB Marcus Mariota CB Ronald Darby

There is no surprise that Tom Brady of the New England Patriots was chosen as the top offensive player in the AFC. Even after the whole Deflategate scandal, he was able to return to his team and play extremely well. He has completed 72.2% of his passes for a total of 1,112 yards and a passer rating of 119.6; above all, he has thrown 9 touchdown passes and has yet to give up an interception. Simply put, Brady is a beast.

As for the NFC, Julio Jones of the Atlanta Falcons was given that honor, as he has 34 catches for 440 yards, 4 touchdowns that lead his team to three victories so far. If he was to keep up with this same rhythm, he would end up having 181 catches, 2,346 yards, and 21 touchdowns. Those stats would put him in the record books.

As for defense, we have the Broncos DeMarcus Ware, with 3.5 sacks and is a big force behind the undefeated front seven; with him on the line they have only allowed 16.3 points per game. Panthers CB, Josh Norman has been able to return a pick-six, forced a fumble, and saved their team with a game-clinching interception. They certainly deserve to have the award this month.

Marcus Mariota is an amazing rookie to watch, with his career debut game he threw 4 touchdowns, and finished with a perfect 158.3 passer rating, along with 833 total passing yards and 8 touchdowns to date; he is a force to be reckoned with. Ronald Darby is showing exactly why the Buffalo Bills drafted him, with two interceptions and 13 total tackles so far in his professional football career. It is looking to be a great NFL season if this is what we’re offered in just three weeks.